Options course · Lesson 9 of 10
Straddles and iron condors are bets on how far the stock moves.
These trades do not need a direction. A straddle or strangle wins on a large move. An iron condor wins when the stock stays still.
The long straddle
You buy the 100 call and the 100 put. The total cost is $988. You make money if the stock moves far enough in either direction.
You break even at $90.12 and $109.88. So the stock must move more than $9.88 by expiration. The one standard deviation move from lesson 5 is $12.41. Even so, the model gives a profit in only 43% of cases.
The cost of a straddle is the price of a move. It makes money only if the stock moves more than the cost per share.
The long strangle
A strangle uses two strikes out of the money: the 95 put and the 105 call. It costs $572, which is less than the straddle. But the stock must move further, to below $89.28 or above $110.72. The model gives a profit in 39% of cases.
The iron condor
An iron condor is a bet that the stock stays in a range. It is a bull put spread and a bear call spread together. You sell the 95 put and the 105 call, and you buy the 90 put and the 110 call for protection.
You receive $271. You keep all of it if the stock ends between $95 and $105. You break even at $92.29 and $107.71, and the largest loss is $229.
In the model, the condor ends with a profit in 47% of cases. Short strikes further from the stock win more often, but they pay less.
| Stock at expiration | Long straddle | Long strangle | Iron condor |
|---|---|---|---|
| $70 | +$2,012 | +$1,928 | -$229 |
| $80 | +$1,012 | +$928 | -$229 |
| $90 | +$12 | -$72 | -$229 |
| $95 | -$488 | -$572 | +$271 |
| $100 | -$988 | -$572 | +$271 |
| $105 | -$488 | -$572 | +$271 |
| $110 | +$12 | -$72 | -$229 |
| $120 | +$1,012 | +$928 | -$229 |
| $130 | +$2,012 | +$1,928 | -$229 |
The short straddle
A short straddle is the other side of the long straddle. The seller receives $988 and makes a profit if the stock ends between $90.12 and $109.88. The loss has no limit if the stock rises far. The iron condor caps that loss with its two long options.
Key points
- Straddles and strangles make money on a large move in either direction.
- An iron condor makes money when the stock stays in a range.
- The price of each trade already includes the move that the market expects.
Sources
- Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities, Journal of Political Economy, 1973, for the model that gives every price in this course.